Introduction: Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskiy arrived in Granada, Spain, for a summit of the European Political Community, a forum established in response to Russia’s invasion of Ukraine to promote cooperation among over 40 countries spanning from Norway to Albania. European leaders, including French President Emmanuel Macron, German Chancellor Olaf Scholz, and British Prime Minister Rishi Sunak, have the opportunity to emphasize their commitment to Ukraine in light of recent political turbulence in the U.S. and Europe that raised doubts about ongoing support.
Zelenskiy’s Key Priorities: President Zelenskiy expressed his main challenge as preserving unity in Europe, extending beyond the EU to encompass all of Europe, while also addressing concerns about Russian disinformation attacks. He emphasized the importance of bolstering Ukraine’s air defences and focusing on the Black Sea region. Russia’s withdrawal from a deal in July, which had allowed Ukraine to safely export food products via the Black Sea, has disrupted Ukraine’s global grain exports, leading to efforts to establish alternative sea routes and “humanitarian corridors” for cargo vessels.
Turbulence in U.S. and Europe: In the U.S., a Republican dispute in the House of Representatives complicated budget negotiations and prompted President Biden to express concerns about American aid to Ukraine. Despite his concerns, Biden maintained that a majority of U.S. lawmakers continue to support funding for Ukraine. European Commission head Ursula von der Leyen expressed confidence that the U.S. would maintain its support.
In Europe, challenges to Kyiv’s support have emerged. Slovakia’s recent parliamentary election saw former Prime Minister Robert Fico’s party winning on a platform of halting military aid to Ukraine. Polish Prime Minister Mateusz Morawiecki announced that Warsaw would no longer arm Ukraine. Nonetheless, Ukrainian, EU, and NATO officials remain optimistic that support for Kyiv will endure, as it aligns with Western interests.
Granada Summit Agenda: The summit will explore Ukraine’s and others’ aspirations to join the EU and address the growing influx of refugees and migrants from the Middle East and Africa, both considered existential challenges for the bloc. Spanish Prime Minister Pedro Sanchez, the summit’s host, noted that expanding the EU from 27 to 35 members will introduce significant internal challenges, initiating a profound reform debate within the EU.
On the sidelines, discussions will focus on crises between Azerbaijan and Armenia and between Serbia and Kosovo, which have escalated in recent weeks amid faltering EU mediation efforts. The hope for the first meeting between Azerbaijani and Armenian leaders since Baku’s military operation last month was dashed when Azerbaijani President Ilham Aliyev chose not to attend. EU leaders have condemned the Azerbaijani operation, prompting an exodus of over 100,000 ethnic Armenians. Some EU leaders emphasize the importance of assisting Armenia in addressing the immediate humanitarian crisis and providing political and economic support.
Conclusion: The Granada summit serves as an opportunity for European leaders to reaffirm their support for Ukraine and tackle critical issues affecting the EU’s future, including expansion, migration, and regional crises. Amidst challenges and uncertainties, Ukraine remains a focal point of discussion and cooperation among European nations.